An analysis of historical modeling outputs is improving our understanding of the relationships between different types of seasonal forecasting skills.
Probabilistic forecasting
Posted inEditors' Vox
Probability Analysis Improves Hazard Assessment
A recent paper in Reviews of Geophysics describes a probabilistic method for evaluating tsunami location, size, and risk to human populations.
Posted inResearch Spotlights
When Might the Campi Flegrei Caldera Erupt Again?
The clock may be ticking for Italy's Campi Flegrei caldera, a region with a pattern of numerous and sometimes large explosive eruptions. The next explosion could be less than 100 years away.