The atmospheric response to El Niño, both in the Pacific region and around the world, changes with each event and is uncertain in future under the influence greenhouse gas forcing.
Forecasting
Posted inEditors' Highlights
Improving Temperature Forecasts in the Upper Atmosphere
Scientists are blending output from multi-year model runs to improve temperature forecasts in regions where satellites experience “drag,” in the hopes of avoiding future spacecraft collisions.
Posted inEditors' Highlights
Fast CMEs Continue to Decelerate in the Outer Heliosphere
Most fast coronal mass ejections will be decelerated into ambient solar wind quickly in the inner heliosphere, but some of them continue the deceleration with an even larger amplitude beyond 1 AU.
Posted inEditors' Highlights
Space Weather: Exploiting Meteorology’s Toolkit
Space weather forecasting is benefiting, and can benefit much further, from concepts and tools already developed by the global meteorological community.
Posted inScience Updates
Working Together Toward Better Volcanic Forecasting
A National Academies report highlights challenges and opportunities in volcano science.
Posted inResearch Spotlights
A Better Way to Predict Space Storms
A new model of solar winds could reduce false alarms.
Posted inEditors' Highlights
Lightning Data Improves Precipitation Forecasts
Short-term forecasts of precipitation and convection can be improved when lightning data are assimilated in the Weather Research and Forecasting system.
Posted inResearch Spotlights
Federal Space Weather Research Could Improve Hazard Preparation
Researchers outline the history of the U.S. government’s involvement in space weather research, from before World War II, through the Space Race, and beyond.
Posted inResearch Spotlights
Can Volcanic Gas Levels Predict an Eruption?
Researchers test whether the changing composition of volcanic gas can signal a coming eruption in Chile’s Villarrica volcano.
Posted inScience Updates
Predictive Capability for Extreme Space Weather Events
Workshop on Modeling and Prediction of Extreme Space Weather Events; College Park, Maryland, 22–24 August 2016